Super Bowl LX. Seahawks Expected To Win

The Seattle Seahawks enter Super Bowl LX as the clear favorites to defeat the New England Patriots on Sunday, February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, according to betting markets, expert consensus, and advanced analytics.

The Seahawks, who advanced to the title game with a 31-27 NFC Championship win over the Los Angeles Rams, hold a -4.5 point spread at most sportsbooks, including DraftKings, where they sit at -230 on the moneyline (implying roughly a 70% chance of victory) and the over/under is set at 45.5 points. ESPN's Football Power Index gives Seattle a 59.6-60% win probability in simulations, with an average projected margin of 3.6 points.

Of the dozens of experts polled across outlets like ESPN, CBS Sports, NFL.com, and The Athletic, a strong majority back the Seahawks--often by wide margins. For instance, 82.8% of ESPN's 58 experts picked Seattle, with common score predictions like 27-17 or 27-10 in their favor. CBS Sports analysts leaned heavily toward Seattle, citing their elite defense (No. 1 in points allowed at 17.2 per game) and consistent performance as reasons they hold the edge over New England's gritty but less dominant unit.

Quarterback Sam Darnold, who threw for 346 yards and three touchdowns in the NFC title game, leads MVP odds at +115, reflecting expectations that Seattle's offense--bolstered by running back Kenneth Walker III and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba--will exploit opportunities created by their top-ranked defense. The Seahawks' "Dark Side" unit is expected to pressure second-year Patriots QB Drake Maye and limit explosive plays, potentially forcing turnovers or short fields.

While the Patriots (who upset the Denver Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship) have earned respect for their defensive resilience and Maye's growth under coach Mike Vrabel, they enter as +190 underdogs. Some analysts note New England's path benefited from favorable matchups and weather in the playoffs, but Seattle's wire-to-wire consistency throughout the 2025 season (including a dominant regular-season record) makes them the team most observers expect to lift the Lombardi Trophy.

The matchup revives memories of Super Bowl XLIX, but this time Seattle arrives as the superior squad on paper. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC, with Bad Bunny performing at halftime. As anticipation builds in the final days before the game, the Seahawks remain the consensus pick to claim their second franchise title.